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US Elections

LIVE · updated 4m ago

US election news and prediction markets.

1Today's politics news2Live odds3Save & track
24h Politics Volume
$2.2M
12,297 markets · all markets ↓
Moving now24h · top 8 movers
25%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$30K vol
64%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$27K vol
11%
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$20K vol
4%
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?$16K vol
1%
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$14K vol
57%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$13K vol
0%
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$13K vol
1%
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$12K vol
The Hill
Guardian US Politics
BBC US & Canada
Axios Politics
NBC News Politics
Mother Jones
NPR Politics
The Dispatch
12,297 in rollup · sorted by volume

The same prediction markets that move the headlines above — priced live across Kalshi and the Polymarket family. Filter by sport to dig in.

Top politics markets12 of 18 · sorted by volume
MarketYesVolumeKKalshiPPolymarket
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No
25%$30KK25%P24%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Yes
57%$13KP57%
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?
Yes
71%$10KP71%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No
20%$11KP20%
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes
56%$4KP56%
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?
No
4%$16KP4%
Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?
Yes
74%$6KP74%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes
86%$7KP86%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes
73%$4KP73%
Will Mitch McConnell resign his office early?
Yes
15%$6KK15%
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
No
17%$5KP17%
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Yes
93%$4KP93%