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Politics prediction markets

LIVE · updated 7m ago

Election and policy markets.

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24h Politics Volume
$6.7M
40,281 active contracts ↓
Market activity24h volume
16%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$1.2M vol
16%
Will House Control be Republican AND Senate Control be Republican for Feb 2027? - R-House, R-Senate$336K vol
17%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$167K vol
52%
Will Democratics win the Senate race in Texas? - Democratic party:: Democratic party$94K vol
65%
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$81K vol
51%
Will Democrats win the U.S. Senate in 2026? - Democratic Party$74K vol
62%
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?$71K vol
96%
Who will win the governorship in California? - :: Democratic$66K vol

Democratic-led cities and states sue to block Trump administration 'public charge' immigration rule

A coalition of local and state governments is suing to halt a new policy that restricts green cards for immigrants who utilize public benefits programs.

Why it mattersA major legal challenge by state and local governments against a Trump administration policy underscores ongoing immigration and federal-state power conflicts.

Russian drone strikes train near Ukraine-Poland border following departure of Western officials

Russian forces struck a railway line used by high-level international dignitaries, raising concerns about a potential escalation in the Ukraine conflict.

Why it mattersA direct attack near the Ukraine-Poland border on a train used by high-level international dignitaries represents a significant escalation in the conflict.
40,281 active contracts

Active prediction markets covering politics.

Top politics markets12 of 44 · sorted by volume
MarketYesVolumeKKalshiPPolymarket
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Yes
16%$1.2MP16%
Will House Control be Republican AND Senate Control be Republican for Feb 2027? - R-House, R-Senate
Yes
16%$336KK16%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Yes
17%$167KP17%
Will Democratics win the Senate race in Texas? - Democratic party:: Democratic party
Yes
52%$94KK52%
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes
65%$81KP65%
Will Democrats win the U.S. Senate in 2026? - Democratic Party
Yes
51%$74KK51%
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
Yes
62%$71KP62%
Who will win the governorship in California? - :: Democratic
Yes
96%$66KK96%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes
52%$61KK52%P52%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Yes
79%$51KP79%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Yes
18%$50KP18%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?
Yes
97%$36KP97%