Politics prediction markets
LIVE · updated 2m agoElection and policy markets.
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LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?$275K vol100%
LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?$230K vol34%
Will Democratics win the Senate race in Iowa? - Democratic party:: Democratic party$215K vol52%
Will Democratics win the Senate race in Ohio? - Democratic party:: Democratic party$185K vol100%
LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?$171K vol46%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$166K vol46%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? - :: Current incumbent, Workers' Party$166K volThe same prediction markets that move the headlines above — priced live across Kalshi and the Polymarket family. Filter by sport to dig in.
MarketYesVolumeKKalshiPPolymarket
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
46%$166KK46%P44%Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? - :: Current incumbent, Workers' Party
46%$166KK46%P44%Will Democratics win the Senate race in Ohio? - Democratic party:: Democratic party
52%$185KK52%—Will Democratics win the Senate race in Iowa? - Democratic party:: Democratic party
34%$215KK34%—Will Republican win the House race for TX-15? - Republican party:: Republican party
40%$148KK40%—Will Republicans win the Senate race in Texas? - Republican party:: Republican party
51%$70KK51%—Will House Control be Democratic AND Senate Control be Democratic for Feb 2027? - D-House, D-Senate
48%$49KK48%—Will Donald Trump apologize for any of his own statements, actions, or conduct before Oct 1, 2026? - Before Oct 1, 2026
69%$75KK69%—Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
76%$58K—P76%Will the Republican party win the governorship in Florida - Republican:: Republican party
81%$57KK81%—