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Events

LIVE · updated 42s ago

One canonical event per real-world question — provider markets and outcomes linked underneath.

1Canonical events2Live odds3Save & track
Live events
244
250 listed
24h volume
$1.5M
Actual USD traded
Linked markets
2.1K
1.7K outcomes
Venues
3
Kalshi · Polymarket · Poly US
01 · High signaltop by 24h volume
Economics
PUS
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal
December 3150%-2.0pp
$279K · 24h8 outcomes
World
P
US x Iran Effective Ceasfire
August 3150%+1.0pp
$127K · 24h5 outcomes
World
P
Iran full airspace closure
August 3159%+2.0pp
$100K · 24h8 outcomes
02 · Event index250 events
Sort
Venue
Status
Event
Leader
24h
Volume
Mkts
Venues
2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee
LivePolitics
Gavin Newsom19%
-0.1pp
$92K24h vol
91/51mkts/outc
KP
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed
LiveWorld
August 31 202645%
+20.0pp
$90K24h vol
11/11mkts/outc
PUS
LeBron James' Next Team
LiveUncategorized
Miami Heat45%
-4.0pp
$86K24h vol
30/30mkts/outc
K
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control
LiveWorld
August 318.6%
—0.0pp
$79K24h vol
5/5mkts/outc
P
Israel closes its airspace
LiveWorld
August 1539%
+3.0pp
$72K24h vol
16/16mkts/outc
P
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations
LiveWorld
August 3161%
-2.0pp
$55K24h vol
5/5mkts/outc
P
2028 Republican Presidential Nominee
LivePolitics
J.D. Vance42%
-0.1pp
$50K24h vol
73/41mkts/outc
KP
Iran leadership change
LiveWorld
June 30 202739%
0.0pp
$40K24h vol
7/7mkts/outc
P
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal
LiveWorld
December 31 202632%
0.0pp
$34K24h vol
7/7mkts/outc
P
Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control
LiveWorld
August 315.1%
0.0pp
$32K24h vol
2/2mkts/outc
P
US announces end of Iranian blockade
LiveWorld
August 31 202647%
0.0pp
$31K24h vol
5/5mkts/outc
P
2027 Pro Football Champion
LiveSports
Los Angeles Rams14%
0.0pp
$27K24h vol
64/32mkts/outc
KP
Trump out as President
LivePolitics
July 310.3%
-0.2pp
$26K24h vol
3/3mkts/outc
P
Putin out as President of Russia
LiveWorld
June 30 202716%
-1.0pp
$25K24h vol
6/6mkts/outc
P
Iran invades Kuwait
LiveWorld
August 314.8%
+0.2pp
$21K24h vol
2/2mkts/outc
P
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date
LiveWorld
July 318.0%
+1.3pp
$17K24h vol
4/4mkts/outc
P
US x Iran diplomatic meeting
LiveWorld
August 31 202639%
-2.0pp
$16K24h vol
20/19mkts/outc
P
Federal Reserve Decision in July 2026?
LiveFinance
No change75%
-2.0pp
$16K24h vol
5/5mkts/outc
K
Israel withdraws from Lebanon
LiveWorld
December 31 202614%
+2.0pp
$14K24h vol
5/5mkts/outc
P
Total Internet Blackout in Iran
LiveWorld
June 30 202650%
—0.0pp
$12K24h vol
4/3mkts/outc
P
New "Stranger Things" episode released
LiveCulture
December 314.5%
—0.0pp
$11K24h vol
4/4mkts/outc
P
Will the U.S. Confirm That Aliens Exist?
LiveTech
Before Jan 20, 202925%
-1.0pp
$10K24h vol
8/8mkts/outc
K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement
LiveWorld
December 31 202636%
0.0pp
$10K24h vol
4/4mkts/outc
P
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile
LiveWorld
December 31 202614%
—0.0pp
$8K24h vol
6/6mkts/outc
P
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
LiveWorld
December 31 202623%
0.0pp
$7K24h vol
2/2mkts/outc
P
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