The favorite to win NFL MVP can change throughout the course of a 17-game season. The live AllTop NFL MVP board displays the current leader and latest prediction-market prices.
Live odds
2026-27 NFL MVP Winner Odds
Live prediction market prices grouped by outcome across available venues.
Current Favorite
JB
Joe Burrow10.5% aggregate probability
+852
Momentum Leader
--
No positive 24h move
Largest Venue Spread
--
No cross-venue spread
24H Volume
$36K
Actual USD traded
Open Interest
5.8M
45 current outcomes
| Outcome | Aggregated | Spread | Volume | 14D Trend | KKALSHI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
JB | +852 -- | -- | $1K | -- | +85210¢–11¢$1K |
JA | +852 -- | -- | $268 | -- | +85210¢–11¢$268 |
LJ | +953 -- | -- | $695 | -- | +9539¢–10¢$695 |
JH | +1076 -- | -- | $443 | -- | +10768¢–9¢$443 |
DM | +1233 -- | -- | $5K | -- | +12337¢–8¢$5K |
DP | +1438 -- | -- | $3K | -- | +14386¢–7¢$3K |
CW | +1438 -- | -- | $3K | -- | +14386¢–7¢$3K |
MS | +1438 -- | -- | $245 | -- | +14386¢–7¢$245 |
PM | +1438 -- | -- | $113 | -- | +14386¢–7¢$113 |
JL | +2122 -- | -- | $1K | -- | +21224¢–5¢$1K |
BP | +2122 -- | -- | $572 | -- | +21224¢–5¢$572 |
TL | +2757 -- | -- | $368 | -- | +27573¢–4¢$368 |
JB
Joe Burrow
$1K 24h1 venues
AGG+852--
K+852
10¢–11¢$1K
JA
Josh Allen
$268 24h1 venues
AGG+852--
K+852
10¢–11¢$268
LJ
Lamar Jackson
$695 24h1 venues
AGG+953--
K+953
9¢–10¢$695
JH
Justin Herbert
$443 24h1 venues
AGG+1076--
K+1076
8¢–9¢$443
DM
Drake Maye
$5K 24h1 venues
AGG+1233--
K+1233
7¢–8¢$5K
DP
Dak Prescott
$3K 24h1 venues
AGG+1438--
K+1438
6¢–7¢$3K
CW
Caleb Williams
$3K 24h1 venues
AGG+1438--
K+1438
6¢–7¢$3K
MS
Matthew Stafford
$245 24h1 venues
AGG+1438--
K+1438
6¢–7¢$245
PM
Patrick Mahomes
$113 24h1 venues
AGG+1438--
K+1438
6¢–7¢$113
JL
Jordan Love
$1K 24h1 venues
AGG+2122--
K+2122
4¢–5¢$1K
BP
Brock Purdy
$572 24h1 venues
AGG+2122--
K+2122
4¢–5¢$572
TL
Trevor Lawrence
$368 24h1 venues
AGG+2757--
K+2757
3¢–4¢$368
Price History
Joe Burrow chart
Loading price history...
NFL MVP prediction market odds
Need a way to compare who will win the NFL MVP race in 2027? You’ve come to the right page. AllTop’s live odds board prices allow you to connect prediction market probabilities at US prediction markets with NFL news and developments shaping the race.
We display the players priced to win, updated in real time, along with current “Yes” prices, movement, volume, and available venues.
A 10¢ price translates to a 10% market-implied probability;
Prices change as contracts are bought and sold;
The live board reflects the current MVP favorite and latest prices for all candidates;
Use the price-history chart to see how the market has changed.
AllTop’s live odds are automatically updated and you can track your favorite players by creating an account within the terminal. The terminal gives you a range of features including notifications on price change.
Who are the top NFL MVP candidates entering the season?
Entering the 2026 NFL season, quarterbacks dominated the NFL MVP odds board.
Josh Allen / Buffalo Bills QB / No. 1 among the preseason MVP contenders
Allen is in the prime of his career and led all NFL quarterbacks with 14 rushing TDs last season.
Joe Burrow / Cincinnati Bengals QB / Tied for No. 2 among the preseason MVP contenders
Burrow has the league’s most dynamic WR duo in Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins. He’s coming off an injury-riddled season, but led the NFL in passing yards and TDs in 2024.
Lamar Jackson / Baltimore Ravens QB / Tied for No. 2 among the preseason MVP contenders
Jackson also fought through injuries last season, but his dual-threat style of play at the QB position makes him a top threat.
Justin Herbert / Los Angeles Chargers QB /
No. 3 among the preseason MVP contenders
Herbert threw for 3,727 yards and 26 TDs last season, and rushed for a career-high 498 yards. The Chargers entered the season fully healthy, and they have one of the league’s top offenses.
Matthew Stafford / Los Angeles Rams QB / Tied for No. 4 among the preseason MVP contenders
The reigning NFL MVP led the league with 4,707 passing yards and 46 TDs last season. Puka Nacua and Davante Adams are two of the NFL’s top wide receivers.
Readers looking for the latest NFL MVP leaders should use the live odds board. You can also check out our entire list of NFL prediction markets.
What moves NFL MVP odds during the season?
MVP odds are fluid and can shift throughout the season for a variety of reasons.
Individual performance and statistics;
Injuries and missed games;
Team record;
Team playoff potential;
Standout performances in big games;
Preseason favorite not performing well;
New candidates emerge;
Late-season performance.
For all these reasons, the preseason MVP field can look very different by the end of the regular season.
How news connects to NFL MVP prediction markets
Prediction-market prices reflect what traders currently expect to happen, but relevant NFL news from across the league shapes how players are being priced.
Traders should keep current on:
Injury or return from injury;
Major performance by an MVP candidate;
Winning or losing streak;
Changes in playoff expectations;
Coaching or roster developments affecting a candidate;
Reporting and analysis on the developing MVP race.
These are the most important things to monitor throughout the NFL season.
Why can prediction markets disagree on NFL MVP odds?
Prediction markets operate independently, so the same MVP candidate can be offered at different implied probabilities and odds across different venues. Kalshi has its own traders, liquidity, and order books. The same holds true for Polymarket and other top prediction markets.
It’s vital to check the odds being offered on multiple platforms to ensure you’re getting the most value on your NFL MVP trades. You can do this easily using the AllTop board instead of checking with each prediction market separately.
This allows you to see where the markets agree and disagree, a critical factor in the success and profitability of your trades on NFL MVP. Don’t assume that the highest or lowest probability being offered across the market is the most accurate.
How does the NFL MVP race compare with Super Bowl odds?
AllTop allows readers to follow live prediction odds and NFL MVP news in real time. You can also compare them with the relative strength of all NFL teams based on their Super Bowl odds.
Like NFL MVP odds, each team’s Super Bowl odds can fluctuate throughout the season. Comparing them can provide additional context to inform your NFL MVP trades.
MVP candidates often play for top contenders. Cross-reference how prediction markets view an individual player's MVP chances with the probability for his team to win the Super Bowl.
While a team's Super Bowl probability does not definitively determine whether a player can win MVP, it serves as a useful research tool.
FAQ
Who is the favorite to win the 2027 MVP?
Can a non-quarterback win MVP?
Yes. The NFL MVP award doesn’t have any restrictions based on a player’s position, but quarterbacks have historically dominated the award. The last non-QB to win NFL MVP was Minnesota running back Adrian Peterson in 2002.
When is the MVP announced?
The NFL MVP is normally announced on the Thursday prior to Super Bowl Sunday.
How are MVP prediction markets settled?
The market resolves to “Yes” if your player wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP for the 2026-27 season.
Are MVP prediction market prices the same as sportsbook odds?
No. Prediction-market prices are based on market trading, as opposed to sportsbook odds set by oddmakers.
Is the NFL MVP the same as the Super Bowl MVP
No. The NFL MVP award is given to a player based on his performance during the regular season. The Super Bowl MVP is based on a player’s performance in the championship game.