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US Elections

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US election news and prediction markets.

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24h Politics Volume
$3.8M
25,114 markets · all markets ↓
Moving now24h · top 8 movers
1%
Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?$66K vol
57%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$52K vol
3%
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?$40K vol
42%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$36K vol
70%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$33K vol
99%
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SPD or Grüne?$32K vol
100%
Will AfD win 38-41 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?$31K vol
0%
Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?$30K vol

Armed individual confronts Ohio gubernatorial candidate Amy Acton at campaign event

Ohio Democratic gubernatorial nominee Amy Acton was targeted by an armed assailant at a campaign event, sparking concerns over political safety.

Why it mattersPolitical violence targeting a candidate in the United States highlights heightened tensions in the current election cycle.

Germany's Far-Right AfD Secures Historic State Election Victory According to Exit Polls

The AfD party has achieved a milestone electoral win in Germany, marking the first time a far-right party has led a state election since World War II.

Why it mattersThe AfD's milestone election win marks a significant shift in European politics, making it a critical geopolitical development.
25,114 in rollup · sorted by volume

The same prediction markets that move the headlines above — priced live across Kalshi and the Polymarket family. Filter by sport to dig in.

Top politics markets12 of 20 · sorted by volume
MarketYesVolumeKKalshiPPolymarket
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes
57%$52KK56%P57%
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
No
3%$40KK2%P3%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Yes
70%$33KP70%
Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?
No
46%$15KP46%
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
No
50%$7KP50%
Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?
No
23%$9KP23%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes
89%$12KP89%
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
Yes
82%$9KP82%
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes
60%$6KP60%
Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?
Yes
83%$6KP83%
Will Mitch McConnell resign his office early? - Before election day 2026
Yes
8%$6KK8%