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US Elections

LIVE · updated 2m ago

US election news and prediction markets.

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24h Politics Volume
$3.5M
18,430 markets · all markets ↓
Moving now24h · top 8 movers
87%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$69K vol
9%
Will Mitch McConnell resign his office early? - Before election day 2026$63K vol
67%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$60K vol
80%
Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17?$54K vol
8%
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$43K vol
13%
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$27K vol

Ukrainian Drone Strike on Russia's Tatarstan Region Kills at Least 13

A significant long-range Ukrainian drone strike on an oil-refining hub in central Russia resulted in at least 13 deaths, marking one of the war's deadliest hits.

Why it mattersA lethal escalation in the war in Ukraine with significant civilian and infrastructure casualties ranks as a tier-1 geopolitical story.
18,430 in rollup · sorted by volume

The same prediction markets that move the headlines above — priced live across Kalshi and the Polymarket family. Filter by sport to dig in.

Top politics markets12 of 15 · sorted by volume
MarketYesVolumeKKalshiPPolymarket
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Yes
67%$60KP67%
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No
8%$43KK6%P8%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes
87%$69KP87%
Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17?
Yes
80%$54KP80%
Will Mitch McConnell resign his office early? - Before election day 2026
Yes
9%$63KK9%
Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
Yes
59%$10KP59%
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Yes
63%$6KP63%
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Yes
98%$15KP98%
Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?
No
1%$11KP1%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No
2%$10KP2%
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?
No
1%$7KP1%