Michigan 2026

LIVE · updated 7s ago

Every race and every ballot proposition, priced live across Kalshi and Polymarket.

Races priced
3
Governor, Senate & statewide
Propositions tracked
1
On the 2026 ballot
House districts
13
Covered live
Venues
3
Priced live · 50 days to Election Day
At least 48%
96%$369 OI
K96%
At least 46%
96%
K96%
At least 50%
86%$649 OI
K86%
At least 38%
83%
K83%
At least 40%
70%
K70%
Party control
D 93%R 10%
K91%P93%K10%P7%
2 offices
SENSenate · Democrats
P93%
AGAttorney General · Eli Savit (D)
P76%
1 propositions
PROPOSAL 2026-01
11% to pass$250 OI
Michigan constitutional convention question
K11%
13 districts
MI-01GOP
K93%P94%
$2K OI · $307 vol
MI-02GOP
K95%P98%
$2K OI
MI-03Dem
K96%P94%
$3K OI
MI-04GOP
K55%P56%
$2K OI · $23 vol
MI-05GOP
K97%P95%
$2K OI · $243 vol
MI-06Dem
K97%P96%
$537 OI
MI-07Dem
K52%P50%
$21K OI · $213 vol
MI-08Dem
K92%P92%
$2K OI · $655 vol
MI-09GOP
K96%P95%
$1K OI
MI-10Dem
K65%P64%
$8K OI · $0 vol
Exactly 5<1%
Exactly 612%
Exactly 724%
Exactly 843%
Exactly 924%
10+3%

Prices shown here are live market probabilities, not forecasts — they reflect what traders are willing to pay right now, aggregated across every linked venue. A 62% price means the market currently prices that outcome at roughly 62 cents on the dollar, not that it is 62% likely to occur in any statistical sense.

Where both Kalshi and Polymarket list a race, we show the highest price across venues so the page always reflects the most confident quote available.