Arizona 2026

LIVE · updated 6m ago

Every race and every ballot proposition, priced live across Kalshi and Polymarket.

Races priced
4
Governor, Senate & statewide
Propositions tracked
1
On the 2026 ballot
House districts
9
Covered live
Venues
3
Priced live · 50 days to Election Day
At least 36%
97%
K97%
At least 38%
96%
K96%
At least 46%
95%
K95%
At least 40%
93%
K93%
At least 48%
91%$10 OI
K91%
Party control
D 88%R 14%
K88%P87%K14%P13%
3 offices
AGAttorney General · Kris Mayes (D)
P73%
SUPTSuperintendent of Public Instruction · Kimberly Yee (R)
K52%
TRETreasurer · Elijah Norton (R)
K60%
1 propositions
BALLOT MEASURE
64% to pass
Restricting transgender school and athletic access
P64%
9 districts
AZ-01Dem
K72%P72%
$17K OI · $1 vol
AZ-02GOP
K71%P69%
$4K OI · $4 vol
AZ-03Dem
K97%P98%
$255 OI
AZ-04Dem
K95%P95%
$3K OI
AZ-05GOP
K91%P92%
$2K OI
AZ-06Dem
K80%P83%
$10K OI · $0 vol
AZ-07Dem
K96%P96%
$406 OI
AZ-08GOP
K85%P85%
$2K OI · $5 vol
AZ-09GOP
K96%P95%
$2K OI · $4 vol
Exactly 35%
Exactly 424%
Exactly 556%
Exactly 616%
7+1%

Prices shown here are live market probabilities, not forecasts — they reflect what traders are willing to pay right now, aggregated across every linked venue. A 62% price means the market currently prices that outcome at roughly 62 cents on the dollar, not that it is 62% likely to occur in any statistical sense.

Where both Kalshi and Polymarket list a race, we show the highest price across venues so the page always reflects the most confident quote available.