Arizona 2026

LIVE · updated 4s ago

Every race and every ballot proposition, priced live across Kalshi and Polymarket.

Races priced
4
Governor, Senate & statewide
Propositions tracked
1
On the 2026 ballot
House districts
9
Covered live
Venues
3
Priced live · 42 days to Election Day
At least 48%
95%$10 OI
K95%
At least 38%
94%
K94%
At least 50%
87%$1K OI · $96 vol
K87%
At least 40%
85%
K85%
At least 52%
75%
K75%
Party control
D 89%R 14%
K89%P89%K12%P14%
3 offices
AGAttorney General · Kris Mayes (D)
P78%
SUPTSuperintendent of Public Instruction · Teresa Leyba Ruiz (D)
K39%
$65 OI
TRETreasurer · Elijah Norton (R)
K60%
1 propositions
BALLOT MEASURE
65% to pass
Restricting transgender school and athletic access
P65%
9 districts
AZ-01Dem
K72%P75%
$33K OI · $44K vol
AZ-02GOP
K69%P69%
$3K OI · $359 vol
AZ-03Dem
K99%P98%
$255 OI
AZ-04Dem
K96%P95%
$4K OI · $1 vol
AZ-05GOP
K91%P92%
$6K OI · $9 vol
AZ-06Dem
K82%P83%
$5K OI · $29 vol
AZ-07Dem
K95%P95%
$406 OI
AZ-08GOP
K85%P84%
$3K OI
AZ-09GOP
K95%P95%
$3K OI · $1 vol
Exactly 310%
Exactly 419%
Exactly 548%
Exactly 619%
7+1%

Prices shown here are live market probabilities, not forecasts — they reflect what traders are willing to pay right now, aggregated across every linked venue. A 62% price means the market currently prices that outcome at roughly 62 cents on the dollar, not that it is 62% likely to occur in any statistical sense.

Where both Kalshi and Polymarket list a race, we show the highest price across venues so the page always reflects the most confident quote available.