LIVE · updated 13m ago
Every ai story, priced by the market moving it.
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Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?$174K vol100%
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 4, 2026?$44K vol0%
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?$40K vol86%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?$33K vol0%
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026?$31K vol2%
Will Apple Inc. release iPhone 18 before Oct 1, 2026? - Before October$26K vol0%
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?$23K vol0%
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?$18K vol- OpenAI launches Astra, its powerful (and controversial) new model37m ago
- Ollie is betting its focus on privacy can help it win the AI assistant race2h ago
- Google’s latest AI weather model gives you no excuse to forget your umbrella3h ago
- Nvidia confirms it will buy Hugging Face for $12.9 billion5h ago
- The Builders Stage brings practical strategies for scaling startups to TechCrunch Disrupt 202619h ago
- Palo Alto Networks paid $500M for Thrive-backed Console, sources say19h ago
- OpenAI’s new reasoning technique alarms AI safety experts22h ago
- Pangram’s Max Spero on why AI detection is harder than ‘Real or Fake’25h ago
- We’re ‘dangerously close’ to dead internet theory, says Pangram’s CEO25h ago
- U.S. government sides with OpenAI on issue of training LLMs on copyrighted material25h ago
- OpenAI’s next big AI model has ‘entered the AGI era’39m ago
- Google now lets you chat with Gmail, Docs, and Keep2h ago
- Nvidia launches free tool that links idle computers into a personal AI data center2h ago
- ChatGPT, Grok, and Claude all went down at the same time3h ago
- Google says its AI weather model is getting better3h ago
- Nvidia is buying Hugging Face for almost $13 billion6h ago
- Google says its new Gemini 3.8 Flash model ‘works harder’ but might cost more22h ago
- Amazon’s AI assistant can now spot fake emails from the company24h ago
- Researchers fear safety disaster ahead of OpenAI’s Astra release25h ago
- The Trump administration is supporting OpenAI in the NYT copyright lawsuit26h ago
The same prediction markets that move the headlines above — priced live across Kalshi and the Polymarket family. Filter by sport to dig in.
MarketYesVolumeKKalshiPPolymarket
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
86%$33K—P86%Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?
34%$11K—P34%Will OpenAI release GPT-6 before Oct 1, 2026? - Before Oct 1, 2026
97%$14KK97%—Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
27%$5K—P27%Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
28%$4K—P28%Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Oct 1, 2026? - Before Oct 1, 2026
5%$8KK5%—Will CATL be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
13%$6K—P13%Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?
92%$6K—P92%Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?
86%$5K—P86%Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
76%$4K—P76%Will the next Google Gemini Flash model be released on September 2, 2026?
78%$4K—P78%