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Best AI at the End of 2026?

Live prediction market prices grouped by outcome across available venues.

Current Favorite
A(
Anthropic (Claude)62.8% aggregate probability
-168
Momentum Leader
+1.0pp
Moonshot AI (Kimi)
Largest Venue Spread
--
No cross-venue spread
24H Volume
$70
Actual USD traded
Open Interest
4.3M
8 current outcomes
Market outcomes

Outcome Odds

Format
Sort
OutcomeAggregatedSpreadVolume14D TrendKKALSHI
A(
Anthropic (Claude)
$65 24h1 venues
-168
↑ +0.2pp
--$65-16863¢–63¢$65
O(
OpenAI (ChatGPT)
$2 24h1 venues
+573
↓ 0.2pp
--$2+57315¢–15¢$2
G(
Google (Gemini)
$0 24h1 venues
+747
↑ +0.5pp
--$0+74712¢–12¢$0
X(
xAI (Grok)
$2 24h1 venues
+1553
↑ +0.4pp
--$2+15536¢–7¢$2
M(
Meta (Llama)
$0 24h1 venues
+4248
↓ 0.1pp
--$0+42482¢–2¢$0
MA(
Moonshot AI (Kimi)
$1 24h1 venues
+4900
↑ +1.0pp
--$1+49001¢–3¢$1
A(
Alibaba (Qwen)
$0 24h1 venues
+9900
↑ +0.2pp
--$0+99000.80¢–1¢$0
B(
Baidu (Ernie)
$0 24h1 venues
+28471
↑ +0.0pp
--$0+284710.30¢–0.40¢$0
A(
Anthropic (Claude)
$65 24h1 venues
14D
AGG-168↑ +0.2pp
Spread--Vol$65
K-168
63¢–63¢$65
O(
OpenAI (ChatGPT)
$2 24h1 venues
14D
AGG+573↓ 0.2pp
Spread--Vol$2
K+573
15¢–15¢$2
G(
Google (Gemini)
$0 24h1 venues
14D
AGG+747↑ +0.5pp
Spread--Vol$0
K+747
12¢–12¢$0
X(
xAI (Grok)
$2 24h1 venues
14D
AGG+1553↑ +0.4pp
Spread--Vol$2
K+1553
6¢–7¢$2
M(
Meta (Llama)
$0 24h1 venues
14D
AGG+4248↓ 0.1pp
Spread--Vol$0
K+4248
2¢–2¢$0
MA(
Moonshot AI (Kimi)
$1 24h1 venues
14D
AGG+4900↑ +1.0pp
Spread--Vol$1
K+4900
1¢–3¢$1
A(
Alibaba (Qwen)
$0 24h1 venues
14D
AGG+9900↑ +0.2pp
Spread--Vol$0
K+9900
0.80¢–1¢$0
B(
Baidu (Ernie)
$0 24h1 venues
14D
AGG+28471↑ +0.0pp
Spread--Vol$0
K+28471
0.30¢–0.40¢$0
Price History

Anthropic (Claude) chart

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