Live odds
Best AI Model Odds for the End of 2026
Anthropic is the current favorite to have the best AI model at the end of 2026, with a 68.0% implied probability. OpenAI is second at about 14.6%, followed by xAI at about 10.2%. The frontier is still moving: Artificial Analysis scored xAI’s Grok 4.6 at 61 on Aug. 12, level with GPT-5.6 Sol and behind Anthropic’s Claude Opus 5 and Claude Fable 5. Compare live AI model odds from Kalshi; the rankings and probabilities update automatically as market prices move.
Current Favorite
A(
Anthropic (Claude)60.6% aggregate probability
-154
Momentum Leader
--
No positive 24h move
Largest Venue Spread
--
No cross-venue spread
24H Volume
$26K
Actual USD traded
Open Interest
5.2M
8 current outcomes
| Outcome | Aggregated | Spread | Volume | 14D Trend | KKALSHI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
A( | -154 -- | -- | $7K | -- | -15459¢–62¢$7K |
O( | +297 -- | -- | $10K | -- | +29725¢–25¢$10K |
G( | +1438 -- | -- | $704 | -- | +14386¢–7¢$704 |
X( | +1823 -- | -- | $8K | -- | +18234¢–6¢$8K |
M( | +6797 -- | -- | $0 | -- | +67971¢–2¢$0 |
MA( | +9900 -- | -- | $0 | -- | +9900Ask 1¢$0 |
A( | +28471 -- | -- | $40 | -- | +284710.30¢–0.40¢$40 |
B( | +66567 -- | -- | $199 | -- | +665670.10¢–0.20¢$199 |
A(
Anthropic (Claude)
$7K 24h1 venues
AGG-154--
K-154
59¢–62¢$7K
O(
OpenAI (ChatGPT)
$10K 24h1 venues
AGG+297--
K+297
25¢–25¢$10K
G(
Google (Gemini)
$704 24h1 venues
AGG+1438--
K+1438
6¢–7¢$704
X(
xAI (Grok)
$8K 24h1 venues
AGG+1823--
K+1823
4¢–6¢$8K
M(
Meta (Llama)
$0 24h1 venues
AGG+6797--
K+6797
1¢–2¢$0
MA(
Moonshot AI (Kimi)
$0 24h1 venues
AGG+9900--
K+9900
Ask 1¢$0
A(
Alibaba (Qwen)
$40 24h1 venues
AGG+28471--
K+28471
0.30¢–0.40¢$40
B(
Baidu (Ernie)
$199 24h1 venues
AGG+66567--
K+66567
0.10¢–0.20¢$199
Price History
Anthropic (Claude) chart
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