Live odds

Will the U.S. Confirm That Aliens Exist?

These contracts are cumulative. More than one can resolve Yes.

Highest probability
BJ2
Before Jan 20, 202920.5% estimated probability
+388
Momentum Leader
--
No positive 24h move
Largest Venue Spread
--
No cross-venue spread
24H Volume
$9K
Actual USD traded
Open Interest
5.4M
6 current contracts
Cumulative contracts

Threshold and deadline probabilities

Format
Sort
ContractAggregatedSpreadVolume14D TrendKKALSHI
BJ2
Before Jan 20, 2029
$318 24h1 venues
+388
--
--$318--+38820¢–21¢$318
B2
Before 2028
$390 24h1 venues
+700
--
--$390--+70012¢–13¢$390
B2
Before 2027
$7K 24h1 venues
+1962
--
--$7K--+19625¢–5¢$7K
BD
Before December
$238 24h1 venues
+3900
--
--$238--+39002¢–3¢$238
BN
Before November
$129 24h1 venues
+3900
--
--$129--+39002¢–3¢$129
BO
Before October
$72 24h1 venues
+6567
--
--$72--+65671¢–2¢$72
BJ2
Before Jan 20, 2029
$318 24h1 venues
AGG+388--
Spread--Vol$318
K+388
20¢–21¢$318
B2
Before 2028
$390 24h1 venues
AGG+700--
Spread--Vol$390
K+700
12¢–13¢$390
B2
Before 2027
$7K 24h1 venues
AGG+1962--
Spread--Vol$7K
K+1962
5¢–5¢$7K
BD
Before December
$238 24h1 venues
AGG+3900--
Spread--Vol$238
K+3900
2¢–3¢$238
BN
Before November
$129 24h1 venues
AGG+3900--
Spread--Vol$129
K+3900
2¢–3¢$129
BO
Before October
$72 24h1 venues
AGG+6567--
Spread--Vol$72
K+6567
1¢–2¢$72
Completed contracts

Resolved contracts

2 results
ContractResultFinal probabilityVenue
BABefore AugustResolved No1.0%Kalshi
BSBefore SeptemberResolved No1.0%Kalshi
BA
Before AugustResolved No
1.0%
BS
Before SeptemberResolved No
1.0%
Price History

Before Jan 20, 2029 chart

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