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Will the U.S. Confirm That Aliens Exist?

These contracts are cumulative. More than one can resolve Yes.

Highest probability
BJ2
Before Jan 20, 202924.5% estimated probability
+308
Momentum Leader
--
No positive 24h move
Largest Venue Spread
--
No cross-venue spread
24H Volume
$26K
Actual USD traded
Open Interest
6.0M
7 current contracts
Cumulative contracts

Threshold and deadline probabilities

Format
Sort
ContractAggregatedSpreadVolume14D TrendKKALSHI
BJ2
Before Jan 20, 2029
$3K 24h1 venues
+308
--
--$3K--+30824¢–25¢$3K
B2
Before 2028
$879 24h1 venues
+506
--
--$879--+50616¢–17¢$879
B2
Before 2027
$16K 24h1 venues
+1526
--
--$16K--+15266¢–6¢$16K
BD
Before December
$134 24h1 venues
+2122
--
--$134--+21224¢–5¢$134
BN
Before November
$5K 24h1 venues
+2757
--
--$5K--+27573¢–4¢$5K
BO
Before October
$119 24h1 venues
+3900
--
--$119--+39002¢–3¢$119
BS
Before September
$8 24h1 venues
+9900
--
--$8--+9900Ask 1¢$8
BJ2
Before Jan 20, 2029
$3K 24h1 venues
AGG+308--
Spread--Vol$3K
K+308
24¢–25¢$3K
B2
Before 2028
$879 24h1 venues
AGG+506--
Spread--Vol$879
K+506
16¢–17¢$879
B2
Before 2027
$16K 24h1 venues
AGG+1526--
Spread--Vol$16K
K+1526
6¢–6¢$16K
BD
Before December
$134 24h1 venues
AGG+2122--
Spread--Vol$134
K+2122
4¢–5¢$134
BN
Before November
$5K 24h1 venues
AGG+2757--
Spread--Vol$5K
K+2757
3¢–4¢$5K
BO
Before October
$119 24h1 venues
AGG+3900--
Spread--Vol$119
K+3900
2¢–3¢$119
BS
Before September
$8 24h1 venues
AGG+9900--
Spread--Vol$8
K+9900
Ask 1¢$8
Completed contracts

Resolved contracts

1 result
ContractResultFinal probabilityVenue
BABefore AugustResolved No1.0%Kalshi
BA
Before AugustResolved No
1.0%
Price History

Before Jan 20, 2029 chart

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