Live odds
Best AI Coding Model Odds for the End of 2026
Anthropic leads the market for the best AI coding model at the end of 2026, with a 58.5% implied probability. OpenAI is second at about 27.0%, followed by xAI at about 11.0%. Anthropic said on Aug. 7 that Claude Code’s auto mode would become the default for Pro, Max and Team plans, enabling longer-running autonomous work, while Z.ai disclosed on Aug. 26 that it built the closely watched Ox Alpha coding model. Compare live coding-model odds from Kalshi as releases, benchmarks and developer adoption reshape the race.
Current Favorite
A
Anthropic68.5% aggregate probability
-217
Momentum Leader
--
No positive 24h move
Largest Venue Spread
--
No cross-venue spread
24H Volume
$964
Actual USD traded
Open Interest
471.9K
9 current outcomes
| Outcome | Aggregated | Spread | Volume | 14D Trend | KKALSHI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
A | -217 -- | -- | $536 | -- | -21766¢–71¢$536 |
O | +344 -- | -- | $404 | -- | +34421¢–24¢$404 |
X | +1438 -- | -- | $23 | -- | +14386¢–7¢$23 |
G | +1900 -- | -- | $0 | -- | +1900Ask 2¢$0 |
MA | +6567 -- | -- | $0 | -- | +65671¢–2¢$0 |
Z | +6567 -- | -- | $0 | -- | +65671¢–2¢$0 |
A | +9900 -- | -- | $0 | -- | +9900Ask 1¢$0 |
B | +9900 -- | -- | $0 | -- | +9900Ask 1¢$0 |
D | +9900 -- | -- | $0 | -- | +9900Ask 1¢$0 |
A
Anthropic
$536 24h1 venues
AGG-217--
K-217
66¢–71¢$536
O
OpenAI
$404 24h1 venues
AGG+344--
K+344
21¢–24¢$404
X
xAI
$23 24h1 venues
AGG+1438--
K+1438
6¢–7¢$23
G
Google
$0 24h1 venues
AGG+1900--
K+1900
Ask 2¢$0
MA
Moonshot AI
$0 24h1 venues
AGG+6567--
K+6567
1¢–2¢$0
Z
Z.ai
$0 24h1 venues
AGG+6567--
K+6567
1¢–2¢$0
A
Alibaba
$0 24h1 venues
AGG+9900--
K+9900
Ask 1¢$0
B
Baidu
$0 24h1 venues
AGG+9900--
K+9900
Ask 1¢$0
D
DeepSeek
$0 24h1 venues
AGG+9900--
K+9900
Ask 1¢$0
Price History
Anthropic chart
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