STALE
Federal Reserve Decision in July 2026?
Live prediction market prices grouped by outcome across available venues.
Current Favorite
NC
No change76.5% aggregate probability
-326
Momentum Leader
+3.0pp
Hike by 25 bps
Largest Venue Spread
--
No cross-venue spread
24H Volume
$24K
Actual USD traded
Open Interest
16.6M
5 current outcomes
| Outcome | Aggregated | Spread | Volume | 14D Trend | KKALSHI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NC | -326 ↓ 4.0pp | -- | $11K | -32676¢–77¢$11K | |
HB2 | +292 ↑ +3.0pp | -- | $13K | +29225¢–26¢$13K | |
HBM | +6567 ↑ +1.0pp | -- | $1 | +65671¢–2¢$1 | |
CB2 | +9900 ↑ +0.0pp | -- | $50 | +9900Ask 1¢$50 | |
CBM | +9900 ↑ +0.0pp | -- | $1 | +9900Ask 1¢$1 |
NC
No change
$11K 24h1 venues
14D
AGG-326↓ 4.0pp
K-326
76¢–77¢$11K
HB2
Hike by 25 bps
$13K 24h1 venues
14D
AGG+292↑ +3.0pp
K+292
25¢–26¢$13K
HBM
Hike by more than 25 bps
$1 24h1 venues
14D
AGG+6567↑ +1.0pp
K+6567
1¢–2¢$1
CB2
Cut by 25 bps
$50 24h1 venues
14D
AGG+9900↑ +0.0pp
K+9900
Ask 1¢$50
CBM
Cut by more than 25 bps
$1 24h1 venues
14D
AGG+9900↑ +0.0pp
K+9900
Ask 1¢$1
Price History
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