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3%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?$141K vol85%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?$104K vol1%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?$86K vol50%
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?$69K vol18%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?$49K vol5%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?$47K vol5%
Xi Jinping out before 2027?$40K vol11%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?$40K volThe same prediction markets that move the headlines above — priced live across Kalshi and the Polymarket family. Filter by sport to dig in.
MarketYesVolumeKKalshiPPolymarket
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?
50%$69K—P50%Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
49%$7K—P49%Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
85%$104K—P85%Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
53%$5K—P53%Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?
53%$5K—P53%Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
12%$35K—P12%US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
9%$36K—P9%Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
83%$17K—P83%Iran full airspace closure by September 30?
8%$33K—P8%Xi Jinping out before 2027?
5%$40K—P5%Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?
90%$22K—P90%Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?
28%$4K—P28%